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Contents
The results
The subject: Bitcoin
The investor's dilemma
The algorithm
“The Oracle Protocol in action”
“The Intelligence Algorithm in action”
“Outperformance depends on bear market deployment”
“Deploy now vs. wait for ‘the bottom’”
“What if you only have crypto, no cash?”
Algorithm settings
A path forward
Book a demo
Case studies
BTC
Case study: Arch Public for crypto
Winning The Bear Market
How Arch Public’s algorithms turn today’s volatility into your strongest long-term wealth opportunity.
BTC
Crypto
Oracle Protocol and Intelligence Algorithm
Valued February 20, 2026
7 min read
The intelligent edge
The world’s most successful funds never rely on guesswork or emotion. They use advanced algorithms to enter the market intelligently, systematically buying during uncertainty and compounding through every cycle.
Arch Public’s Oracle Protocol and Intelligence Algorithm now bring that same institutional advantage directly to you. What once felt like dangerous volatility becomes an exciting source of opportunity: automated, emotion-free, and relentlessly working in your favor.
In a bear market, most investors see only a funeral for their portfolio. With Arch Public, it becomes a powerful new beginning: the precise moment your capital starts quietly accumulating at better prices, generating yield, and preparing for the strongest long-term outperformance of the next bull run.
Oracle Protocol
2022 bear market performance to date
Oracle Protocol returns
+189%
Buy and hold
+8%
Average trader returns
+11.9%
Intelligence Algorithm
2022 bear market performance to date
Intelligence Algorithm cost basis
$24,012
Crypto only, no cash
2022 bear market performance to date
BTC growth without additional capital
+1.5 BTC
Backtested results. Past performance does not guarantee future results. For educational purposes only.
Bitcoin, BTC
The current opportunity: the 2026 crypto bear market
We are squarely in the heart of the 2026 crypto bear market. Bitcoin reached an all-time high above $126,000 in October 2025 and has since corrected to approximately $67,000. Volatility has returned in force, sentiment has turned cautious, and many high-net-worth investors are stepping back amid the uncertainty.
Yet history has taught us that these exact conditions, when fear is highest and prices reset, are when the greatest long-term fortunes are quietly built.
With Arch Public’s Oracle Protocol and Intelligence Algorithm, this bear market stops being something to endure and becomes something to embrace: the strategic starting point where your capital can systematically accumulate more Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies at superior prices, harvest volatility for yield, and position you for outsized performance when the cycle turns.
October 2021 Bitcoin’s prior cycle peak, and the extended bear market that followed
2022 The depths of the 2022 bear market
October 2025 Bitcoin reaches an all-time high above $126,000
February 2026 Bitcoin has corrected to approximately $67,000
The unspoken advantage of algorithms
In crypto, emotion remains the number one enemy of even the most seasoned high-net-worth investors.
Fear triggers panic selling at the lows. Greed fuels chasing rallies. FOMO and doubt create hesitation that silently erodes long-term wealth.
Arch Public’s Oracle Protocol and Intelligence Algorithm serve as your personal, always-on emotional management system: an incredible, unbiased tool that completely removes day-to-day human decision-making from the equation. Running 24/7 on your behalf, they operate with iron discipline: zero leverage with systematic accumulation precisely when others are paralyzed by fear.
The outcome is profound. Your portfolio gains true principal protection while continuing to grow quietly, methodically, and without requiring you to watch charts or second-guess the market. For the first time, you can genuinely sleep well at night, confident that your capital is protected from emotional sabotage and positioned for outsized long-term success.
Trade multiple strategies across multiple assets, simultaneously
Arch Public algorithms enable you to manage a wide portfolio with virtually zero screen time. Our suite of crypto algorithms adapt across Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, XRP, and other crypto assets with wildly different market structures and volatility profiles.
Oracle Protocol and Intelligence Algorithm
Meet the algorithms: accumulate to arbitrage
Arch Public’s two flagship crypto algorithms, the Intelligence Algorithm and the Oracle Protocol, deliver the same precision that top funds rely on, available to you.
The Intelligence Algorithm
The Intelligence Algorithm is engineered for deep, long-term accumulation. It continuously scans the market and executes only at the most precise moments in the cycle, especially during fear-driven dips and extended consolidation periods, steadily building larger positions in Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other major assets at meaningfully better prices.
The Oracle Protocol
The Oracle Protocol is an extremely adaptable algorithm that can be set with recipes from pure accumulation all the way to sophisticated price arbitrage. It is designed to capture profits from volatile price moves in both directions, generating cash yield while growing your underlying holdings, all on a zero-leverage, spot-only foundation.
Together they transform market uncertainty into a repeatable, emotion-free advantage.
Backtested results. Past performance does not guarantee future results. For educational purposes only.
Oracle Protocol
“The Oracle Protocol in action”
Weekly chart · Oracle Protocol
The Oracle Protocol is designed to take advantage of large and small timeframe market cycles.
Notice that the current 2026 drawdown is beginning to mirror the 2022 drawdown. The Oracle Protocol is in the accumulation phase, establishing a methodically low cost basis, poised for the next bull market.
Open full-size chart
Backtested results. Past performance does not guarantee future results. For educational purposes only.
Intelligence Algorithm
“The Intelligence Algorithm in action”
Daily chart · Intelligence Algorithm
Designed to capture ultra-low cost basis, the Intelligence Algorithm is a set-and-forget long term accumulation algorithm.
Intelligence Algorithm cost basis
$24,012
Intelligence Algorithm cost basis
$24,012
Open full-size chart
Backtested results. Past performance does not guarantee future results. For educational purposes only.
Oracle Protocol, from the cycle peak
“Outperformance depends on bear market deployment”
October 2021 to February 2026 · Daily chart · Oracle Protocol
The world’s best-performing funds have always known the secret: true long-term outperformance is built during bear markets, not bull markets. Arch Public’s Oracle Protocol proves it.
Calibrated directly from Bitcoin’s October 2021 peak and the full extended bear market that followed, the algorithm’s recipe was set to map every major decline and bounce. It learned to deploy capital aggressively at the precise moments when conviction was highest, exactly the sharp retracements we are seeing today in 2026.
The outcome: from the prior cycle peak through the entire bear market and recovery into February 2026, the Oracle Protocol generated +189% returns versus only +8% for a simple buy-and-hold strategy.
That is the power of deploying the right algorithm during a bear market. It is not about timing the absolute bottom, it is about being positioned intelligently when the cycle turns.
Oracle Protocol returns
+189%
Buy and hold +8%
Oracle Protocol returns
+189%
Buy and hold returns
+8%
A recipe for your specific needs: notice the different buy and sell profile compared to the same Oracle Protocol in “The Oracle Protocol in action” above. Arch Public crypto algorithms are extremely flexible to each client’s specific risk appetite, current portfolio construction, and capital stack.
Open full-size chart
Backtested results. Past performance does not guarantee future results. For educational purposes only.
Scenario analysis
“Deploy now vs. wait for ‘the bottom’”
October 21, 2021 to February 20, 2026 · Daily chart · Oracle Protocol, weekly time frame
While investors around the world were paralyzed by panic and depression during the bear market, Arch Public’s Oracle Protocol and Intelligence Algorithm were doing the opposite: methodically building high-conviction positions at the most attractive prices in the cycle.
As we illustrate, from the 2021 bull market peak through the entire bear market and recovery into 2026, the Oracle Protocol generated +189% returns. This significantly outperformed simple buy-and-hold at +8% and left the average trader far behind with only +11.9% (assuming a $60k average cost basis).
Most market participants only re-engage well after the bottom, buy either too little or at poor times, and almost never take partial profits. They end up round-tripping their capital for meager returns that a conservative bond portfolio could beat.
Arch Public’s disciplined, emotion-free approach breaks this destructive pattern.
Oracle Protocol returns
+189%
Buy and hold, last bull cycle +8%
Average trader, $60k cost basis +11.9%
Initial capital
$100,000
Oracle Protocol returns
+189%
Buy and hold returns, last bull cycle
+8%
Average trader, $60k cost basis
+11.9%
Open full-size chart
Backtested results. Past performance does not guarantee future results. For educational purposes only.
Crypto only
“What if you only have crypto, no cash?”
January 1, 2021 to February 20, 2026 · Daily chart · Oracle Protocol on spot Bitcoin holdings
Imagine a high-net-worth investor who holds 10 BTC with an average cost basis of $44,000 and no additional cash available. Like many clients in this exact position, he wants to protect his existing stack from further downside while quietly growing it during the current bear market.
By deploying Arch Public’s Oracle Protocol directly on his spot Bitcoin holdings, the algorithm went to work immediately. It harvested volatility in both directions, executed disciplined trades, and systematically accumulated more BTC.
The outcome is powerful: in the time since activation, his holdings have grown to 11.5 BTC with $367,000 in dry powder generated, delivering a 60% total return and a net gain of 1.5 extra BTC, achieved with zero additional cash outlay. His portfolio is now larger, more resilient, and perfectly positioned for the next leg higher.
Oracle Protocol total returns
+60%
Starting holdings
10 BTC at $44,000 avg cost basis
Holdings now
11.5 BTC
BTC growth, no additional cash required
+1.5 BTC
Dry powder to deploy
+$367k
Oracle Protocol total returns
+60%
Open full-size chart
Backtested results. Past performance does not guarantee future results. For educational purposes only.
Replicate the strategy
Do it yourself.
Scenario analysis
Deploy now vs. wait for ‘the bottom’
Algorithm
Oracle Protocol
Initial capital
$100,000
Long threshold
-7%
Exit threshold
4%
Only sell above cost basis
Checked
Sell profit threshold
200%
Time frame
Weekly
Period
October 21, 2021 to February 20, 2026
Primary trade size type
Percentage
Entry trade size
15%
Exit trade size
10%
Use fixed trade size as minimum limit
Checked
Fixed entry trade size
$5,000
Fixed exit trade size
$5,000
Crypto only example
What if you only have crypto, no cash?
Algorithm
Oracle Protocol
Initial capital
$0
Long threshold
-2.5%
Exit threshold
2.1%
Only sell above cost basis
Checked
Sell profit threshold
10%
Average price mode
Manual
Total cost basis
$440,000
Total quantity
10
Trade initial position
Checked
Time frame
Daily
Period
January 1, 2021 to February 20, 2026
Primary trade size type
Percentage
Entry trade size
5%
Exit trade size
5%
Use fixed trade size as minimum limit
Checked
Fixed entry trade size
$1,000
Fixed exit trade size
$1,000
Backtested results. Past performance does not guarantee future results. For educational purposes only.
We are here: this is where fortunes are built
We are now at a pivotal point that looks remarkably similar to the midpoint of Bitcoin’s sharp decline from the 2021 bull-market peak into the depths of the 2022 bear market.
This is exactly where fortunes are made with Arch Public’s algorithms. While fear and uncertainty grip most investors, the Oracle Protocol and Intelligence Algorithm thrive, methodically building larger, higher-conviction positions at superior prices and harvesting volatility for yield.
The window is open right now. Deploy Arch Public today to position your portfolio for outsized long-term success. Get set up immediately and let the algorithms take the constant burden of monitoring the markets completely off your shoulders, so you can relax, knowing your capital is working intelligently while you focus on what matters most.
Book a demo Or talk with the Concierge team
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Important disclosures
Educational purposes only. Not investment, tax, or legal advice. Consult a qualified professional. Trading stocks, ETFs, cryptocurrencies, and futures involves significant risk, including possible loss of principal. Backtested performance is hypothetical and does not represent actual trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Arch Public never takes custody of your assets.
© 2026 Arch Public. All rights reserved. Published February 20, 2026.
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