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Contents
The results
The algorithm
“Effortless cycle setup”
“Growing BTC with BTC”
“Profiting in the chop”
“Growing ETH with ETH”
“Position protection”
“Scalping for profit”
Algorithm settings
A path forward
Book a demo
Case studies
BTC · ETH · XRP · SOL
Case study: Arch Public for crypto
Ride The Market Wave
Introducing Arch Public’s most intuitive algorithm yet.
Real cycles. Real outperformance.
BTC · ETH · XRP · SOL
Crypto
Market Wave
Valued April 19, 2026
8 min read
Volatility used to hurt you. Now it builds you.
In late 2021, clients watched Bitcoin collapse from $69,000 to $15,000. Like millions of others, they were either holding and hoping as their portfolio bled, or trying to time every move manually and getting chopped to pieces by the noise.
Most investors still face the same trap today: passive holders endure deep drawdowns with no systematic way to add on real capitulation, while active traders get whipsawed by short-term swings. Even sophisticated users of powerful earlier tools ran into hidden friction, complex setups that punished small mistakes, average cost basis acting as an invisible leash on sells, no visual confirmation of where the algorithm would actually trade, and the inability to run different strategies on the same asset without everything drifting apart.
Arch Public listened.
Market Wave was built as the answer: one elegant wave plotted directly on your chart. When price drops below the bottom edge, it buys. When price rises above the top edge, it sells. Everything in between is a calm no-trade zone. A single Scope slider lets you instantly shift from short-term yield harvesting to long-term macro accumulation and the entire wave reshapes live on the chart before your eyes.
No more guesswork. No more setup drift. Market Wave brings visual clarity, disciplined execution, and results you can see in real time.
Pure BTC Market Wave setup
BTC growth
10 BTC > 37 BTC
BTC Market Wave macro setup
Bitcoin PnL
+168%
XRP Market Wave
PnL delta vs. buy and hold
+80%
Backtested results. Past performance does not guarantee future results. For educational purposes only.
Market Wave
Market Wave: one visual wave. Infinite clarity.
What you see. What it does.
One flowing wave
Replaces dozens of indicators.
Bottom edge
Buys on real dips.
Top edge
Sells at local peaks.
No-trade zone
In between, it lets the market breathe.
Single Scope slider
Instantly shifts from micro yield harvesting to macro accumulation.
Independent top and bottom edges
Capture real market structure.
Trend Filter
Waits for genuine reversals before trading.
Live data window
Shows your historical performance vs buy-and-hold.
Stack Waves
Run simultaneous micro-focused, macro-focused, and black swan waves across multiple crypto assets.
Clients don’t just deploy a strategy, they see it working before they ever go live.
Backtested results. Past performance does not guarantee future results. For educational purposes only.
Bitcoin macro wave
“Effortless cycle setup”
November 8, 2021 to April 19, 2026 · Daily chart · Scope 7.5
Started at the absolute worst time: November 2021, right at the cycle peak, with $100k cash and zero BTC. As Bitcoin collapsed more than 70%, this Market Wave setup didn’t panic, didn’t chase bottoms, and didn’t sell into weakness.
It stayed disciplined: only buying on genuine capitulation movements and only selling when price confirmed a rollover above the macro wave. A smart $60k filter kept it from exiting too early during the beginning of the 2023 recovery.
Most investors have a hard time seeing the big picture; Market Wave stays true to the changing trends no matter what the underlying reason for each peak and trough.
Current strategy PnL
+168%
Buy and hold +12.5%
Initial capital
$100,000
Accumulated asset
3 BTC
Current cost basis
$78,000
Realized profit
$175,059
Current strategy PnL
+168%
Buy and hold PnL
+12.5%
Open full-size chart
Backtested results. Past performance does not guarantee future results. For educational purposes only.
Bitcoin macro wave
“Growing BTC with BTC”
February 17, 2021 to April 19, 2026 · Daily chart · Scope 8
For long-term Bitcoin holders who have built their position over cycles, Market Wave turns a pure crypto stack with zero cash into substantial growth.
Starting with 10 BTC and no reserves, the strategy sells at local tops to generate cash, then redeploys it aggressively during drawdowns to accumulate far more Bitcoin at lower prices.
The result: that same 10 BTC position grows to over 37 BTC plus cash, all powered by intelligently harvesting volatility instead of simply holding through it.
Current strategy PnL
+452%
Buy and hold +44.7%
Initial capital
$0
Initial crypto
10 BTC
Accumulated asset
37.5 BTC
Current cost basis
$86,444
Realized profit
$2.8M
Current strategy PnL
+452%
Buy and hold PnL
+44.7%
Open full-size chart
Backtested results. Past performance does not guarantee future results. For educational purposes only.
Bitcoin micro wave
“Profiting in the chop”
February 1, 2026 to April 19, 2026 · 1 hour chart · Scope 2.5
Market Wave easily handles short term price movements in extremely difficult, sideways price action. Most investors cross their fingers, hoping price trends in the right direction while their position oscillates.
Instead, clients can create a Market Wave with a micro scope, scalping the highs and lows for substantial profit. In this example, a client could create a micro Market Wave setup, capturing a 26% realized gain while buffering a larger buy and hold Bitcoin position.
Current strategy PnL
+26.8%
Buy and hold -2%
Initial capital
$100,000
Accumulated asset
0 BTC
Current cost basis
N/A
Realized profit
$28,819
Current strategy PnL
+26.8%
Buy and hold PnL
-2%
Open full-size chart
Backtested results. Past performance does not guarantee future results. For educational purposes only.
Ethereum macro wave
“Growing ETH with ETH”
January 1, 2024 to April 19, 2026 · Daily chart · Scope 6
Altcoins can generate highly profitable price action that is extremely difficult to trade. Long term holders have gained and lost fortunes as the price of Ethereum has oscillated between $4k+ and ~$2k.
As an example, starting January 2024 with 50 ETH and no cash, the Market Wave setup sold the peak three times, reloading at the bottom each time. The Trend Filter feature was active, establishing a reversal confirmation to avoid buying during the long term down trends.
Current strategy PnL
+248%
Buy and hold -1.2%
Initial capital
$0
Initial crypto
50 ETH
Accumulated asset
152 ETH
Current cost basis
$2,521
Realized profit
$325,490
Current strategy PnL
+248%
Buy and hold PnL
-1.2%
Open full-size chart
Backtested results. Past performance does not guarantee future results. For educational purposes only.
XRP macro wave
“Position protection”
January 1, 2025 to April 19, 2026 · Daily chart · Scope 5
XRP has garnered substantial long term promise, but has struggled to break into new highs over the past year. Long term holders have seen gains erode.
Starting January 2025 with 100,000 XRP and zero cash, the Market Wave setup sold the peak three times, reloading at the bottom each time. Asymmetric buffers (small sells, deeper buys) suit XRP’s violent moves. Static $2 floor and ceiling cleanly splits the sell zone from the buy zone. Sell Trend Filter waits for rollover confirmation while the buy side fires aggressively into capitulation moves.
Current strategy PnL
+41.6%
Buy and hold -38.5%
Initial capital
$0
Initial crypto
100,000 XRP
Accumulated asset
187k XRP
Current cost basis
$1.71
Realized profit
$172,557
Current strategy PnL
+41.6%
Buy and hold PnL
-38.5%
Open full-size chart
Backtested results. Past performance does not guarantee future results. For educational purposes only.
Solana micro wave
“Scalping for profit”
February 1, 2026 to April 19, 2026 · 1 hour chart · Scope 2.5
Short term action across altcoins is notoriously choppy. With a Market Wave recipe set towards a micro scope, it is now possible to make substantial profits after large drawdowns where price tends to move sideways within defined ranges.
These micro setups are fantastic additions to add to your long term positions in an effort to smooth your PnL curve throughout the year. Once price breaks out of these ranges, you can simply disable this instance and let your long term Market Wave macro setups take over.
Current strategy PnL
+22.5%
Buy and hold -18.7%
Initial capital
$100,000
Accumulated asset
0 SOL
Current cost basis
N/A
Realized profit
$22,576
Current strategy PnL
+22.5%
Buy and hold PnL
-18.7%
Open full-size chart
Backtested results. Past performance does not guarantee future results. For educational purposes only.
Replicate the strategy
Do it yourself.
BTC macro wave: effortless cycle setup
Algorithm
Market Wave
Time frame
Daily
Starting cash
$100,000
Long threshold
-3.5%
Exit threshold
0%
Fixed trade size
Checked
Fixed entry trade size
$500
Fixed exit trade size
$1,000
Percentage trade size
Checked
Entry trade size
15%
Exit trade size
25%
Scope
7.5
Only sell above/only buy below
Checked
Sell buffer
10%
Buy buffer
10%
Only sell above
$60,000
Sell on change of trend
Checked
Period
November 8, 2021 to April 19, 2026
BTC macro wave: growing BTC with BTC
Algorithm
Market Wave
Time frame
Daily
Starting crypto quantity
10
Long threshold
-2.75%
Exit threshold
0.2%
Fixed trade size
Checked
Fixed entry trade size
$2,500
Fixed exit trade size
$10,000
Percentage trade size
Checked
Entry trade size
20%
Exit trade size
20%
Scope
8
Only sell above/only buy below
Checked
Sell buffer
20%
Buy buffer
7%
Only sell above
$57,500
Period
February 17, 2021 to April 19, 2026
BTC micro wave: profiting in the chop
Algorithm
Market Wave
Time frame
1h
Starting cash
$100,000
Long threshold
0%
Exit threshold
0%
Percentage trade size
Checked
Entry trade size
100%
Exit trade size
100%
Scope
2.5
Only sell above/only buy below
Checked
Sell buffer
1.5%
Buy buffer
4.5%
Sell on change of trend
Checked
Period
February 1, 2026 to April 19, 2026
Ethereum macro wave: growing ETH with ETH
Algorithm
Market Wave
Time frame
Daily
Starting crypto quantity
50
Long threshold
0%
Exit threshold
0%
Fixed trade size
Checked
Fixed entry trade size
$50,000
Fixed exit trade size
$50,000
Percentage trade size
Checked
Entry trade size
50%
Exit trade size
50%
Scope
6
Only sell above/only buy below
Checked
Sell buffer
20%
Buy buffer
20%
Only sell above
$4,000
Period
January 1, 2024 to April 19, 2026
XRP macro wave: position protection
Algorithm
Market Wave
Time frame
Daily
Starting crypto quantity
100,000
Long threshold
-5%
Exit threshold
0%
Fixed trade size
Checked
Fixed entry trade size
$50,000
Fixed exit trade size
$50,000
Percentage trade size
Checked
Entry trade size
33%
Exit trade size
75%
Scope
5
Only sell above/only buy below
Checked
Sell buffer
5%
Buy buffer
10%
Only sell above
$2
Only buy below
$2
Sell on change of trend
Checked
Period
January 1, 2025 to April 19, 2026
Solana micro wave: scalping for profit
Algorithm
Market Wave
Time frame
1h
Starting cash
$100,000
Long threshold
-1%
Exit threshold
0%
Percentage trade size
Checked
Entry trade size
100%
Exit trade size
100%
Scope
2.5
Only sell above/only buy below
Checked
Sell buffer
1.5%
Buy buffer
4%
Sell on change of trend
Checked
Period
February 1, 2026 to April 19, 2026
Backtested results. Past performance does not guarantee future results. For educational purposes only.
A path forward
Book a demo Or talk with the Concierge team
More case studies
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Read the case study Symbol XRP
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Strategy return +18.53% in “Oracle Protocol: weekly setup”
Read the case study
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Important disclosures
Past performance is not indicative of future results. All performance figures are based on backtested or hypothetical results and do not reflect actual trading performance or execution costs. Actual results may differ materially. Cryptocurrency trading involves significant risk of loss. This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Arch Public is an independent third-party service provider; Gemini does not endorse or guarantee any claims made herein.
© 2026 Arch Public. All rights reserved. Published April 21, 2026.
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